Horse Racing Tips: The Best Bets for Wagga with Matt Jones

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Mitchell Beer has aspirations for Carnival Albury for a three-year promise that is ready to win consecutive victories. BEST PARIS, INSIDE MAIL

Daily Telegraph form analyst Matt Jones gives his best bets and rules on every race for Wagga.

The Form: Complete the NSW Racing Thoroughbred form, including video replays and everything you need to know about each horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!

WAGGA

BEST BET

Race 8, n°4: FLYING SULTAN

Mitchell Beer thinks the three-year-old is above average and that’s why he gave him an eight-week refresher so he can be ready for Albury Carnival. He’s placed here to keep winning.

NEXT BEST

Race 4, n°5: I AM POWERFUL

She has accumulated up to 1300m and should thrive on the trip for the first time in fourth place and is a progressive horse with wins ahead of her hopefully from Thursday.

VALUE BET

Race 2, n°2: MAGNAVALE

She is seven years old but still has a bright future ahead of her. She’s back at her favorite track where she won four races and she’s dropping grade for it.

QUADDY

Race 6: 1, 3, 5, 9

Race 7: 5, 6, 8

Race 8: 4, 7, 12

Race9: 1, 2, 9, 10

JOCKEY TO WATCH

Jeff Penza could spend a day with rides like Nalabelle, Kurocaine, Mancconi, Iverson, Archie’s A Star and Willful Spirit.

COACH TO WATCH

Joseph Ible has some worthy prospects like I Am Mighty, Divine Moment and Cuban favorite Granchico in the latter.

DOMESTIC MAIL FOR WAGGA

RACE 1

Nymagee also runs on her home track on her debut and she ran fourth in a try but was under good hold and looked like a loaded spring ready to fire on her first start of barrier one where she should slip behind them and produce late. All of the Asterns and Bransoms are out of the races, which gives them all a much better chance. Miss Wallflower should make a promising start to her career from a good start for coach Andrew Dale.

Bet: Victory of Nymagee

RACE 2

Can Intuition gain below 62.5 kg? His record at 1400m is terrible but he’s ready to break that hoodoo these days. Kurocaine has been on fire for a little while now and reserves its best runs for this track. Can he run a solid 1400m? It’s a request but it’s in the form to do it. Magnavale has won four races here and was narrowly beaten by Kurocaine two races back, but the encounter is 3.5kg better at weight.

Bet: Victory of Magnavale

RACE 3

Hemmerle is shooting for three games in a row and is perfectly fit to tackle the 1800m again and enters with winnable weight and should close. Larmour will make the trip right away, but she is in class and there is a question about her class at this level, but she should run well. Jeddalet ran very well over a mile, has a second win to her name and loves racing here so she has a good chance either way.

Bet: Quinelle 1, 11

RACE 4

Victory Idol comes in at just 54kg and will use that to her advantage and likely lead them here and she should come close, although her career high will turn some of them off. Bon Hombre will be in better shape for the first race when he has been racing well and this is his chance to win his first race. I Am Mighty will enjoy going out at 1300m now and get an ideal run under a leading jockey. Undisturbed wants more ground but turned out fresh and might shock them.

Bet: I am powerful to win

RACE 5

Mancconi gets the barrier to have a dream race in transit and he has just won a second place over 1200m where he would have won in two more strides and going up to 1300m seems good to him. Bianco Vilano also just missed the last start and needs a chance to cross and find a place from a wide gate. Maybe that’s why he doesn’t win. Divine Moment missed the kick and wasn’t suited for the 1000m in its debut, so look for improvement now.

Bet: Quinelle 2, 6

RACE 6

Sunrise Ruby is the best horse but not a starter because it is not yet quite ready for the race. If she runs and wins, it will be in one class. Whenitrainsitpours is a horse on the rise, having raced only once less than once in five starts, but must do better in career when he climbs two grades. Blitzar has an excellent track record and if the track remains dry, it is hard to beat. Require Mo could be the bet return.

Bet: Blitzar to win

RACE 7

Lumber Dream is back to a mile again and that feels good to him third after two great performances on shorter runs when he hits the line well. Iverson needs a chance from a wide gate but is coming off his best run yet. Shiny Rock will be in better shape for the final 1600m race after an eight-week break and he looks well placed. Al Muree should be fit for a mile now after covering over 1300m last time out.

Bet: Lumber Dream to win

RACE 8

Mitchell Beer has high hopes for Flying Sultan which he put aside after winning at Albury in December. He thinks he’s a horse that can do well during Albury Carnival, so look for a great race here. Stable mate The Wyvern isn’t quite as whimsical but is 5.5kg lighter which will bring it in. Archie’s A Star should look good on itself and has won second place in the past and also placed over two runs. Fifty Carats will find this race easier and they have won twice here and finished second on four other occasions.

Bet: Victory of Flying Sultan

RACE 9

Cuban Granchico just finished two seconds on his first prep when he ran 1200m from barriers 14 and 5. He’s shot 1000m so it’s a different setup. If he gets the door chance, he is a real chance. Willful Spirit ran four rankings out of eight starts and she should run the gun in transit, which can help her break through. Finite looked green in a barrier try, but also looked like he had some ability.

Cuban Granchico winner

Originally published as Raceday focus: Best bets, inside mail for Wagga

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