Our horse racing betting expert offers his Lexington Stakes predictions for the Kentucky Derby warm-up race scheduled for Saturday at Keeneland Racecourse in Lexington, Ky.
Preparation for the Kentucky Derby, the Grade III Lexington Stakes, features an 11-person field entered in the 1 1/16 mile clay event, the 9th race on the card. TVG will have live coverage.
Lexington Stakes Predictions
- Winner – (2) In due time
- Location – (9) Porto Tawny
- Show – (3) We all see it
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Get to the wire ‘on time’
Kelly Breen has been one of New Jersey’s top coaches for many years. This is where IN DUE TIME started their career. In Due Time premiered in July and quickly broke its maiden.
He was sidelined for the rest of the year, then resurfaced in Gulfstream, Florida. On his second start as a 3-year-old, In Due Time went nearly six lengths into an optional contender.
This encouraged Breen to enroll her foal in the Fountain of Youth in early March. In Due Time managed to avoid a spill on the final corner and rally into second place behind Simplification, which heads to Churchill Downs for the Derby.
Pulling the No. 2 post position there, In Due Time should be leading or near leading from the start in a field lacking a lot of speed.
For the fourth consecutive time, this 3-year-old will be ridden by Paco Lopez, one of the most aggressive and strongest jockeys in the country.
The distance should suit this son of Not This Time perfectly and he will have a hard time passing on the straight.
‘Port’ should storm the house
Before his first start, Tawny Port must have been a classy horse. The son of Pioneer of The Nile was purchased for $430,000 at Keeneland sales in September 2020.
In four starts, Tawny Port has recovered almost half of the purchase price. He won his first two one-mile starts on the Turfway Park synthetic track.
Top trainer Brad Cox tried Tawny Port on dirt in his next outing, the Risen Star Stakes at the Fair Grounds. It turned out to be a packed field – Epicenter won the race en route to likely patronage on the first Saturday in May.
Second-placed Smile Happy and third-placed Zandon ran 1-2 in reverse order at last weekend’s Blue Grass at Keeneland.
Tawny Port saved some ground in this race, then was propelled to the sixth lane by jockey Florent Geroux. He finished a respectable fifth.
In his last outing, Tawny Port finished second to Tiz The Bomb in the Jeff Ruby Steaks at Turfway. It will spark another strong rally on Saturday and could be the best of the closest.
Turning into his parents – not a bad thing
WE ALL SEE HIM would like to emulate his father. Sire Street Sense broke into his home to win the Derby in 2007.
This son took a long time to develop. He lost his first two starts at Ellis Park last year. We All See It showed improvement as he broke his maiden on his debut at 3, an 11-length frolic at Indiana Downs.
He has raced in four optional contenders since that win, but only found the winner’s circle on his last start.
Bought for $250,000 as a yearling, We All See It won by a head at the Fair Grounds on March 19. While the margin was narrow, the speed figure for the race was significant.
Based on that number, the Eddie Kenneally-trained colt has a legitimate chance to upset. The presence of Luis Saez in the saddle adds to the appeal of the gray colt.
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