Race-by-race tips and Canterbury Thursday preview

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Dangers: 5. Moonflower won comfortably on a heavy track at Goulburn first then straight in that kind of class and wasn’t dishonored running third at Warwick Farm a few weeks ago. Be sure to give a good account again. 3. Mobsstar disappointed not to beat a house at Warwick Farm last time out, but previous form was solid on heavy trails. Right to another chance to take the class down a notch. 2. Tuhinga resumed in the blinders with two tries to his credit. The only win so far was on a similar trip to Wyong in January on heavy ground, so it remains under notice.
How to play it: E/W flying pitch. Odds and events: DIVIDE.

Race 4 – 2:40 PM EARTHLIGHT @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1100 METERS)

2. Curtis Island will appreciate finding a wet track after his unplaced effort at Rosehill on good ground, on which he has yet to be placed in seven starts. This followed back-to-back wins on both soft and heavy tracks, so he clearly likes to go and can race well.

Dangers: 4. Quenus was on the market in the same run on the restart and finished in midfield after seemingly getting his chance. More fit and it handles soft and heavy soils so right to another look. 7. Sunrise Ruby is a very practical wet tracker that picks up, and it seemed to have won its Albury trial well recently. The only heavy-court loss was at Kensington in August and she ran one game there as second. Protect yourself. 8. Go Gold is a promising player with two wins in three starts and ran to the short-term favorite score at Goulburn on a soft 6 first-up. Still to see a heavy race day but won a try in it. Can be measured.
How to play it: Curtis Island E/W. Odds and events: EVENTS.

Race 5 – 3:20 p.m. VINERY YEARLINGS HANDICAP (1250 METERS)

1. Flash flood had his chance at Rosehill last time out when he was fourth behind Niffler after sitting on speed, but he was an impressive heavy track winner before. If the conditions make a difference, he should be hard to beat.

Dangers: 4. The Light of Adelaide rode a much improved run in second place, hitting the line strongly late in fourth on a heavy track at Canterbury two weeks ago. Should be ready to produce his best now and looks a threat. 9. Green Reign is in better shape for two races from a year off the stage, and he found the line very well late on a soft 7 at Goulburn second, making his run wide on the track. Down 5kg and has claims back and forth. 2. Snitzonfire led and weakened them in the restart at Canterbury but expects him to be better for the run. If he gets some control up front, he can run down.
How to play it: WIN flash flood. Odds and events: DIVIDE.

Race 6 – 3:55 p.m. FIRST JUSTIFIER HANDICAP YEARLINGS (1550 METERS)

7. Park of the Castles doesn’t win out of turn but it handles the wet quite well and its consistent form this time illustrates that. He’ll get a nice run through midfield or thereabouts and have his chance to get to the finish in an open run. In each direction.

Dangers: 6. Ségril was beaten by less than two lengths on a good track last time out at Kensington, which isn’t a shame, but his last two wins have come on difficult ground, so he’s back in contention again. Beat Chateaux Park two starts back. Large but certain chance. 3. Deficit was a beaten favorite to Randwick third, but he continued to come from the second half of the field and was not far from claiming a place. At the top now and must be considered. 1. Cross-dressing is another good wet tracker and, with that in mind, his last start fourth on a soft 5 at Warwick Farm wasn’t bad. Has a few claims.
How to play it: E/W Castles Park. Odds and events: DIVIDE.

Race 7 – 4:35 p.m. TAB HANDICAP (1250 METERS)

7. Riduna returned to two-point form after a break and never doubted he would lead Newcastle all the way last time out. Even better now. Go ahead and probably lead them here, sure to step back.

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Hazards: 5. Ice crusher made a promising comeback with a last second at Warwick Farm a few weeks ago and she’s handled a heavy track in the past. Good luck if she can replicate this new effort. 8. Tawfiq Lass didn’t win on a good track, so her effort at Kensington last time out to be narrowly beaten was a practical performance. Likely to come back, but if they can run she is able to be at the finish. 11. Lisdoonvarna can be hard to catch, but she won well on a heavy track before an equal effort just behind the leaderboards at Warwick Farm last time out. That was two months ago, but she’s playing fresh and worth including.
How to play it: Riduna WIN; Trifecta 7/5,8,11/5,8,11. Odds and events: EVENTS.

Advice provided by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays are available at racingnsw.com.au.

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