Selections for Aintree Thursday

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Ruby Walsh thinks Conflated can get the better of the home defense in Thursday’s Betway Bowl at Aintree.


1.45 Grade 1 SSS Super Alloys Manifesto Novices’ Chase

Pic D’Orhy is Paul Nicholls pick Harry Cobden goes up look he was no match for L’Homme Presse at Sandown as a 1st year there went back to Kempton and beat Millers Bank with a brilliant jump at the end, but I actually think the increased travel is going to really suit War Lord. I thought he had the pace to be in a really good position in the Arkle he was in what you would call the box seat but he was third/fourth inside, traveled really well, jumped like a male, didn’t have the gears when they sped down to third last, lost position, looked like a bad seventh turn, but stayed good to come back via Rivière D’etel and finish fourth and I think leg of the trip will suit Colin Tizzard’s charge and that’s LORD OF WAR for me.




2.20 Juvenile 4 Year Old Juvenile Obstacle for Year 1 Jewishon Birthday

I think it’s Brazil or the Pied Piper and I’m going to side with Brazil. I think he gave Gaelic Warrior 8lbs at Cheltenham and won exceptionally well – he was badly hampered at the penultimate hurdle of the first circuit, or second hurdle, which he jumped and j I thought he had done well to get back to it. . I think he fought very well to beat Gaelic Warrior and I think he is improving. There were only 4 books between Brazil and Pied Piper on the flat one was rated 85 the other was rated 89 so there is officially only one book between them on jumps and j just thought BRAZIL was the one advancing and I’ll take a chance on him for Padraig Roche and Mark Walsh.

2.55 Betway Category 1 Bowl

Clan Des Obeaux comes here for the first time with blinders, it was his target, but much like Kemboy, he is 10 years old, not getting any younger and really can not improve. I think the weather is going to be key here – if it rains, it gives Royale Pagaille a huge chance. He likes soft ground – we hope Kemboy can win and he’s in wonderful shape, but you’d think there’s something open to a little improvement that’s going to beat him. I thought Protektorat had a really good run in the Gold Cup, but I thought he had a pretty tough run and was only seven years old. Eldorado Allen and Conflated, who would finish ahead at Cheltenham. I thought Conflated was probably going to beat Eldorado Allen and Janidil. I think going back on a trip will be fine CONFLÉ and it is with him that I will associate myself.



3.30 Level 1 Betway Aintree Hurdle

I’m going with AMAZING, I think the mistake would have put her a bit further ahead of Zanahiyr in the Champion Hurdle. She gained a mile and a half when she was three, she’s now eight, maybe it’s a bit further than she wants and I’m going to go with my gut here even though we don’t have absolutely no evidence that she will get the trip. I’m just going to say with my instinct that two and a half miles will bring a bit of improvement to Épatante and she will be too good for the opposition.

4.05 Pursuit of the Randox Foxhunters

Jett – I just watched the Grand Nationals all week or the Grand National last year looking at it different ways and this guy was jumping and bowling the whole way. I looked at his fighter chase form and thought to myself that he had been beaten by Shantou Flyer on the last day, but it was three miles and two furlongs away at Fontwell and in fact he would have won at three miles. I think coming back on a trip really suits JETT.

4.40 Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase

Sam Thomas did really well Before Midnight at the start of the year. Last April he won 129, picked up a £7 penalty, returned in October to Cheltenham and won. Carried the penalty at Ascot when he won 144, then moved to the Desert Orchid Chase at Christmas, he was last behind Shishkin. Left behind then Funambule Sivola at Haydock, probably no shame in that on 148 and was beaten, now Funambule Sivola is gone and finished second in the Champion Chase, so it was probably a solid run, here on the same mark. But you’re kind of hoping there’s something somewhere in the list that could still be handicapped relatively well.

A preview of the Grand National like no other! 40 horses covered in 4.53 minutes

It’s hard to think the handicapper hasn’t caught up to Before Midnight yet. But look Sam Thomas is really making a name for himself and his horses are absolutely flying. But apart from him I thought maybe Thyme White beat Nero Rock at Doncaster in December, took a break then came back behind Golden Boy Gray at Ascot and ran well at the end of March. I thought it would have benefited the race for this meeting. Bryony Frost rides for Paul and I thought Henry’s were interesting. He has won this race in the past with big prize horses. It has Zarkareva, Dancing On My Own and Bold Enough which Mark Walsh rides and if you pushed me for one probably Dancing On My Own. He was disappointing behind Global Citizen in the Grand Annual, fell behind Ciel De Neige, he finished third behind Blue Lord, beat Buddy Rich in Killarney and I thought DANCE ALONE could be attractive at a high price under Darragh O’Keeffe.

5.15 Goffs UK Nickel Coin Mares’ Bumper

I thought it was a good race [from Ashroe Diamond at Leopardstown when fourth] – I thought she ran reasonably well too in Galway this summer behind The Gossiper and I thought she ran a cracker in Leopardstown. Obviously Lily Du Berlais came from a long way to beat Battling Bessie and Liberty Dance on the inside finished third. Ashroe Diamond came out on the outside under Pat Taaffe to finish fourth and just got the better of Pink In The Park. But Pink In The Park was fifth, Nikini sixth, Harmonya Maker seventh – they were second, third and fourth at Fairyhouse last Sunday behind Dorans Weir. I’d say they definitely haven’t let the shape down – I’d take that as a positive, I think she looks good DIAMOND ASHROE, Patrick will mount it in 11th which is always a good sign for me. She’s in great shape, I think Paddy pays a lot of places in there, so at 9/2 each way, she’ll definitely do me.



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